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四川省阿坝州植被NPP动态变化分析

Dynamic Change Analysis of Vegetation NPP in Aba Prefecture, Sichuan Province

  • 摘要: 阿坝州地处青藏高原东南缘与长江上游生态屏障核心区,其植被净初级生产力(NPP)的时空动态对区域生态安全具有重要指示意义。基于2001—2020年遥感数据,系统分析了该区域植被NPP的时空变化特征及其驱动机制。结果表明:研究区多年平均NPP为426.37 g C m−2 a−1,空间呈东南高、西北低格局,整体呈波动上升趋势,81.92%的区域植被状况改善;NPP变异系数均值为0.080,稳定性优于多数生态脆弱区;Hurst 指数均值为0.676,整体表现出强持续性,未来植被整体向好但局部存在退化风险。NPP随海拔升高显著降低,阴坡高于阳坡,随地形起伏度增加先升后降,在50~500 m区间达到峰值。生态工程实施是植被恢复的主要驱动因素,而局部人类活动和极端气候事件仍对生态系统产生负面影响。为青藏高原东缘生态保护与修复提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Aba Prefecture is located at the southeastern margin of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and the core area of the ecological barrier in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River. The spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation net primary productivity (NPP) in this region have important indicative significance for regional ecological security. Based on remote sensing data from 2001 to 2020, this study systematically analyzed the spatiotemporal variation characteristics and driving mechanisms of vegetation NPP and soil erosion in the study area. The results showed that the multi-year average NPP of the study area was 426.37 g C m−2 a−1, with a spatial pattern of high in the southeast and low in the northwest. The overall NPP showed a fluctuating upward trend, with 81.92% of the region experiencing vegetation improvement. The mean coefficient of variation of NPP was 0.080, indicating higher stability than most ecologically fragile areas. The mean Hurst index was 0.676, showing strong overall persistence, suggesting that the vegetation will generally improve in the future but there is a risk of local degradation. The soil erosion modulus decreased significantly with increasing altitude, was higher on shady slopes than on sunny slopes, and first increased and then decreased with increasing topographic relief, reaching a peak in the 50-500 m interval. The implementation of ecological projects was the main driving factor for vegetation restoration and soil erosion reduction, while local human activities and extreme climate events still had negative impacts on the ecosystem. This study can provide a scientific basis for ecological protection and restoration in the eastern margin of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

     

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