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湖南省常见栎属树种地上生物量模型与分配格局

Aboveground Biomass Models and Allocation Patterns of Common Quercus Species in Hunan province

  • 摘要: 揭示栎属树种生物量分配的种间差异,解决传统模型组分不相容问题,为区域森林碳储量精准监测提供计量依据。以湖南省栓皮栎、麻栎、小叶青冈、赤皮青冈及青冈 5 种栎属树种为研究对象,基于 127 株解析木数据,采用混合变量设计与总量控制下的比例平差法,构建了分树种及广义通用的相容性生物量模型系统。结合留一交叉验证(LOOCV)评价模型泛化能力,并解析组分分配的演变规律。结果表明:(1)各树种异速生长速率保持生物学一致性,但基准生物量存在极显著的种间差异( P< 0.01 ),证实了分树种建模的必要性。(2)混合变量相容性系统有效解决了组分加和不闭合问题,地上生物量与树干木材决定系数( R^2 )均超过 0.97;LOOCV 显示通用模型在群体尺度具备优异无偏性(平均相对误差MRE = 7.40%),栓皮栎与赤皮青冈专用模型在单株预测精度上显著优于通用模型。(3)随着胸径增大,各树种树干生物量占比提升明显,树叶占比急剧收缩;树皮生物量占比稳定在 8%~15%;麻栎表现出重冠轻干的分配策略,其树枝占比随径阶增大反升至 25% 以上。 构建的混合变量相容性模型兼顾了组分生物学特性与统计稳健性。建议湖南省在区域尺度普查中使用通用模型以确保无偏估计,而在特定林分精准核算中应优先选用分树种专用模型。

     

    Abstract: This study aims to reveal interspecific differences in biomass allocation strategies among Quercus (oak) species in Hunan Province, resolve the issue of component incompatibility in traditional models, and provide a measurement basis for the precise monitoring of regional forest carbon stocks. Taking five Quercus species—Q. variabilis, Q. acutissima, Q. myrsinifolia, Q. gilva, and Q. glauca—as research subjects, and based on data from 127 destructively sampled trees, compatible biomass model systems for both individual species and a generalized group were constructed. This was achieved using a mixed-variable design and the proportional adjustment method under total biomass control. Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation (LOOCV) was employed to evaluate the generalization ability of the models and to analyze the evolutionary patterns of component allocation. The results indicated that: (1) While the allometric growth rates remained biologically consistent across species, there were extremely significant interspecific differences in baseline biomass ( P< 0.01 ), confirming the necessity of species-specific modeling. (2) The mixed-variable compatible system effectively resolved the issue of component non-additivity. The coefficients of determination ( R^2 ) for total aboveground biomass and stem wood both exceeded 0.97. LOOCV results showed that the generalized model possessed excellent unbiasedness at the population scale (Mean Relative Error, MRE = 7.40%), whereas the specific models for Q. variabilis and Q. gilva significantly outperformed the generalized model in individual prediction accuracy. (3) As the diameter at breast height (DBH) increased, the proportion of stem biomass increased significantly across species, while the proportion of leaf biomass shrank sharply; the proportion of bark biomass remained stable between 8% and 15%. Notably, Q. acutissima exhibited a unique "heavy crown, light stem" allocation strategy, with its branch proportion rising to over 25% as the diameter class increased. The mixed-variable compatible models constructed in this study balance the biological characteristics of different components with statistical robustness. It is recommended to use the generalized model for regional-scale forest resource inventories in Hunan Province to ensure unbiased estimation, while species-specific models should be prioritized for precise accounting in specific forest stands.

     

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