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多年冻土退化与植被的互馈机制及人类活动管控与生态修复协同策略

Permafrost degradation and vegetation feedback mechanism, along with coordination strategies for human activity regulation and ecological restoration

  • 摘要: 气候变暖正在加速冻土退化,多年冻土-植被相互作用调控碳-养分循环、地表反照率及蒸腾作用,深刻影响区域碳平衡、生物多样性和水文过程。但目前对多年冻土与植被交互作用的系统性分析不足,生态修复策略的科学性和多年冻土退化利弊的权衡缺乏充分的理论支撑。综述了多年冻土退化对植被特征的影响、多年冻土与植被之间相互作用及人类活动的干扰。文献综述表明,多年冻土退化改变土壤水热条件与碳释放,导致高寒生态系统稳定性下降,但其临界阈值与植被响应机制存在时空异质性;人类活动加速了多年冻土的退化,需要通过分区管理来平衡多年冻土与经济发展之间的关系;多学科与智能算法结合,构建技术体系。在未来发展中,需量化植被开始演替时多年冻土退化的临界阈值,并开发基于人工智能的冻土-植被动态预警系统;提升现有模型的模拟能力,解决突发性热喀斯特灾害模拟能力不足的问题;建立跨尺度监测平台,弥补植被修复技术的长期效应评估的技术空白;制定多年冻土退化风险分级管控标准;构建冻土区生态保护与社区发展的协同框架,推动气候变化适应政策的科学决策;建议将多年冻土碳汇潜力纳入国家碳中和战略,推动生态补偿机制落地等,为全球高寒地区可持续发展提供范式。本文系统整合了青藏高原与泛北极地区多年冻土-植被互馈机制,并提出跨学科数据融合的管理框架,弥补了高寒生态系统修复策略的理论空白。

     

    Abstract: Climate warming is accelerating the degradation of permafrost, and the interaciton between permafrost and vegetation regulates carbon-nutrient cycle, surface albedo and transpiration, which deeply impacts regional carbon balance, biodiversity and hydrological processes. However, the systematic analysis of the interaction between permafrost and vegetation is insufficient, and the scientific nature of ecological restoration strategy and the trade-off between the advantages and disadvantages of permafrost degradation lack sufficient theoretical support. In this paper, the impact of permafrost degradation on vegetation characteristics, function interactions between permafrost degradation and vegetation, and human activities were reviewed. The literature review indicated that permafrost degradation changed soil hydrothermal conditions and carbon release, leading to the decline of alpine ecosystem stability, but its critical threshold and vegetation response mechanism were spatio-temporal heterogeneous. Human activities had accelerated the degradation of permafrost, and zonal management was needed to balance the relationship between permafrost and economic development. Multidisciplinary and intelligent algorithms were combined to build a technical system. In future development, it is necessary to quantify the critical threshold of permafrost degradation when the vegetation just started succession, and develop a permafrost-vegetation dynamic early warning system based on artificial intelligence, and improve the simulation capability of existing models and solve the problem of insufficient simulation capability of sudden thermal karst disasters, and establish a cross-scale monitoring platform to make up for the technical gap of long-term effect assessment of vegetation restoration technology, and formulate classification control standards for permafrost degradation risk, and construct a collaborative framework of ecological protection and community development in permafrost regions to promote scientific decision-making on climate change adaptation policies. It is suggested that the carbon sink potential of permafrost should be incorporated into the national carbon neutrality strategy, and the ecological compensation mechanism should be promoted to provide a paradigm for the sustainable development of global alpine regions. In this paper, the mechanism of permafrost-vegetation mutual feedback between Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Pan-Arctic region was systematically integragted, and the management framework of interdisciplinary data fusion was proposed, which filled the theoretical gap of alpine ecosystem restoration strategy.

     

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